Annex 1 – Updated Tables for total, new manufacturing, and servicing demand
Below updated tables until 2050 (compared to 2030 in the XXVI/9 TF report) are given for the total demand, new manufacturing and servicing demand (data used for the scenario graphs in chapter 4):
– for non-Article 5 and Article 5 Parties
– for the major R/AC sub-sectors
– for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios:
– Table A6-1: Demand in tonnes for new manufacturing plus servicing (total demand) for non- Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-2: Demand in tonnes for new manufacturing only for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-3: Demand in tonnes for servicing only for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-4: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for new manufacturing plus servicing (total demand) for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-5: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq.for new manufacturing only for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-6: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq.for servicing only for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-7: Demand in tonnes for servicing and new manufacturing (total demand) for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-8: Demand in tonnes for new manufacturing only for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table: A6-9: Demand in tonnes for servicing only for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010- 2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-10: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for new manufacturing plus servicing (total demand) for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-11: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for new manufacturing only for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
– Table A6-12: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for servicing only for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
Table A6-1: Demand in tonnes for new manufacturing plus servicing (total demand) for non- Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In tonnes (new manufacturing plus servicing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1876 | 1451 | 957 | 954 | 862 | 999 | 1158 | 1342 | 1556 |
HC-‐600a | 362 | 415 | 545 | 786 | 1156 | 1340 | 1553 | 1801 | 2087 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2256 | 2373 | 2400 | 2395 | 2104 | 2013 | 2334 | 2705 | 3136 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 15305 | 16093 | 11907 | 7478 | 5667 | 5457 | 6326 | 7334 | 8502 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 4373 | 9213 | 13988 | 18396 | 21326 | 24723 | 28661 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 1041 | 1113 | 1148 | 1188 | 1233 | 1343 | 1484 | 1661 | 1875 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 603 | 743 | 491 | 378 | 218 | 193 | 213 | 203 | 178 | ||
R-‐22 | 1323 | 675 | 455 | 306 | 206 | 139 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 6649 | 8898 | 11269 | 13764 | 16735 | 19994 | 23621 | 27625 | 32207 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 222 | 213 | 302 | 371 | 483 | 585 | 679 | 787 | 912 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1176 | 1540 | 917 | 833 | 705 | 626 | 588 | 543 | 491 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 557 | 756 | 1014 | 1314 | 1662 | 2065 | 2532 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 4032 | 4468 | 1422 | 994 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 39385 | 77354 | 94230 | 114001 | 131319 | 151966 | 176170 | 204229 | 236758 | ||
R-‐407C | 11195 | 26802 | 26172 | 30349 | 31368 | 32918 | 34890 | 37176 | 39826 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 8770 | 13597 | 19034 | 25337 | 32644 | 41115 | 50935 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 69670 | 68359 | 48425 | 38118 | 27509 | 24564 | 28477 | 33013 | 38271 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 18218 | 32849 | 49939 | 63812 | 73975 | 85758 | 99417 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐3
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1876 | 1451 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 362 | 415 | 1500 | 1739 | 2017 | 2338 | 2710 | 3142 | 3642 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2256 | 2373 | 2400 | 2395 | 2104 | 2013 | 2334 | 2705 | 3136 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 15305 | 16093 | 10320 | 4207 | 759 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 5962 | 12483 | 18896 | 23854 | 27653 | 32057 | 37163 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 1041 | 1113 | 1148 | 1188 | 1233 | 1343 | 1484 | 1661 | 1875 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 603 | 743 | 322 | 219 | 121 | 88 | 100 | 76 | 36 | ||
Low GWP | 6649 | 8898 | 11438 | 13923 | 16831 | 20099 | 23736 | 27752 | 32348 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 222 | 213 | 302 | 371 | 483 | 585 | 679 | 787 | 912 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1176 | 1540 | 730 | 484 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 744 | 1105 | 1558 | 1940 | 2249 | 2608 | 3023 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 4032 | 4468 | 1422 | 994 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 39385 | 77354 | 22337 | 15831 | 4127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 11195 | 26802 | 13904 | 11080 | 4215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 92513 | 129552 | 170632 | 210221 | 243704 | 282520 | 327518 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 69670 | 68359 | 41871 | 25932 | 8755 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 24772 | 45035 | 68704 | 88376 | 102452 | 118770 | 137687 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐5
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1876 | 1451 | 957 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 362 | 415 | 545 | 1739 | 2016 | 2338 | 2710 | 3142 | 3642 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2256 | 2373 | 2400 | 2395 | 2104 | 2013 | 2334 | 2705 | 3136 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 15305 | 16093 | 11907 | 4983 | 1535 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 4690 | 12483 | 18896 | 23854 | 27653 | 32057 | 37163 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 1041 | 1113 | 1148 | 1188 | 1233 | 1343 | 1484 | 1661 | 1875 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 603 | 743 | 491 | 277 | 159 | 126 | 162 | 156 | 123 | ||
Low GWP | 6649 | 8898 | 11269 | 13885 | 16793 | 20061 | 23674 | 27672 | 32262 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 222 | 213 | 302 | 371 | 483 | 585 | 679 | 787 | 912 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1176 | 1540 | 872 | 531 | 209 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 602 | 1058 | 1511 | 1917 | 2249 | 2608 | 3023 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 4032 | 4468 | 1422 | 994 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 39385 | 77354 | 94230 | 26474 | 14768 | 1761 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 11195 | 26802 | 26172 | 14906 | 8041 | 2012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 8770 | 115904 | 156984 | 203045 | 243704 | 282520 | 327518 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 69670 | 68359 | 48425 | 29702 | 12514 | 1943 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 18218 | 41265 | 64934 | 86433 | 102452 | 118770 | 137687 |
Table A6-2: Demand in tonnes for new manufacturing only for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In tonnes (new manufacturing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1872 | 1449 | 955 | 953 | 861 | 998 | 1157 | 1341 | 1554 |
HC-‐600a | 362 | 415 | 545 | 786 | 1155 | 1339 | 1553 | 1800 | 2087 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2027 | 1786 | 665 | 771 | 894 | 1036 | 1201 | 1393 | 1614 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 7006 | 3028 | 2262 | 1787 | 2072 | 2402 | 2784 | 3228 | 3742 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 3248 | 4600 | 5332 | 6182 | 7166 | 8308 | 9631 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 327 | 397 | 418 | 439 | 461 | 535 | 620 | 719 | 833 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 345 | 420 | 153 | 97 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 30 | ||
R-‐22 | 320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 2412 | 3884 | 5013 | 5938 | 7027 | 8146 | 9444 | 10948 | 12692 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 45 | 57 | 142 | 164 | 191 | 221 | 256 | 297 | 344 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 578 | 738 | 89 | 131 | 152 | 176 | 204 | 236 | 274 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 482 | 531 | 616 | 714 | 827 | 959 | 1112 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 3387 | 3118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 34160 | 61755 | 68084 | 78927 | 91499 | 106072 | 122966 | 142552 | 165257 | ||
R-‐407C | 7513 | 16313 | 10791 | 12350 | 14317 | 16597 | 19241 | 22306 | 25858 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 7209 | 8516 | 9873 | 11445 | 13268 | 15382 | 17831 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 17728 | 17622 | 4573 | 5430 | 6295 | 7297 | 8460 | 9807 | 11369 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 12279 | 14105 | 16352 | 18956 | 21976 | 25476 | 29533 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐3 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1872 | 1449 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 362 | 415 | 1500 | 1739 | 2016 | 2337 | 2709 | 3141 | 3641 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2027 | 1786 | 665 | 771 | 894 | 1036 | 1201 | 1393 | 1614 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 7006 | 3028 | 990 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 4520 | 6387 | 7404 | 8584 | 9951 | 11536 | 13373 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 327 | 397 | 418 | 439 | 461 | 535 | 620 | 719 | 833 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 345 | 420 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 2412 | 3884 | 5162 | 6035 | 7044 | 8165 | 9466 | 10974 | 12721 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 45 | 57 | 142 | 164 | 191 | 221 | 256 | 297 | 344 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 578 | 738 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 601 | 662 | 767 | 890 | 1031 | 1195 | 1386 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 3387 | 3118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 34160 | 61755 | 1268 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 7513 | 16313 | 335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 84480 | 99794 | 115688 | 134115 | 155476 | 180239 | 208946 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 17728 | 17622 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 17005 | 19535 | 22647 | 26254 | 30435 | 35283 | 40902 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐5 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1872 | 1449 | 955 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 362 | 415 | 545 | 1739 | 2016 | 2337 | 2709 | 3141 | 3641 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2027 | 1786 | 665 | 771 | 894 | 1036 | 1201 | 1393 | 1614 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 7006 | 3028 | 2262 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 3248 | 6387 | 7404 | 8584 | 9951 | 11536 | 13373 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 327 | 397 | 418 | 439 | 461 | 535 | 620 | 719 | 833 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 345 | 420 | 153 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 2412 | 3884 | 5013 | 6035 | 7044 | 8165 | 9466 | 10974 | 12721 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 45 | 57 | 142 | 164 | 191 | 221 | 256 | 297 | 344 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 578 | 738 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 482 | 662 | 767 | 890 | 1031 | 1195 | 1386 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 3387 | 3118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 34160 | 61755 | 68084 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 7513 | 16313 | 10791 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 7209 | 99794 | 115688 | 134115 | 155476 | 180239 | 208946 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 17728 | 17622 | 4573 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 12279 | 19535 | 22647 | 26254 | 30435 | 35283 | 40902 |
Table A6-3: Demand in tonnes for servicing only for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010- 2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In tonnes (servicing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
HC-‐600a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 229 | 587 | 1735 | 1624 | 1210 | 977 | 1133 | 1312 | 1522 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 8299 | 13065 | 9645 | 5691 | 3595 | 3055 | 3542 | 4106 | 4760 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1125 | 4613 | 8656 | 12214 | 14160 | 16415 | 19030 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 714 | 716 | 730 | 749 | 772 | 808 | 864 | 942 | 1042 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 258 | 323 | 338 | 281 | 202 | 174 | 191 | 177 | 148 | ||
R-‐22 | 1003 | 675 | 455 | 306 | 206 | 139 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 4237 | 5014 | 6256 | 7826 | 9708 | 11848 | 14177 | 16677 | 19515 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 177 | 156 | 160 | 207 | 292 | 364 | 423 | 490 | 568 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 598 | 802 | 828 | 702 | 553 | 450 | 384 | 307 | 217 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 75 | 225 | 398 | 600 | 835 | 1106 | 1420 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 645 | 1350 | 1422 | 994 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 5225 | 15599 | 26146 | 35074 | 39820 | 45894 | 53204 | 61677 | 71501 | ||
R-‐407C | 3682 | 10489 | 15381 | 17999 | 17051 | 16321 | 15649 | 14870 | 13968 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1561 | 5081 | 9161 | 13892 | 19376 | 25733 | 33104 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 51942 | 50737 | 43852 | 32688 | 21214 | 17267 | 20017 | 23206 | 26902 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 5939 | 18744 | 33587 | 44856 | 51999 | 60282 | 69884 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐3 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 229 | 587 | 1735 | 1624 | 1210 | 977 | 1133 | 1312 | 1522 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 8299 | 13065 | 9330 | 4207 | 759 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1442 | 6096 | 11492 | 15270 | 17702 | 20521 | 23790 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 714 | 716 | 730 | 749 | 772 | 808 | 864 | 942 | 1042 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 258 | 323 | 318 | 219 | 121 | 88 | 100 | 76 | 36 | ||
Low GWP | 4237 | 5014 | 6276 | 7888 | 9787 | 11934 | 14270 | 16778 | 19627 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 177 | 156 | 160 | 207 | 292 | 364 | 423 | 490 | 568 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 598 | 802 | 730 | 484 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 143 | 443 | 791 | 1050 | 1218 | 1413 | 1637 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 645 | 1350 | 1422 | 994 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 5225 | 15599 | 21069 | 15831 | 4127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 3682 | 10489 | 13569 | 11080 | 4215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 8033 | 29758 | 54944 | 76106 | 88228 | 102281 | 118572 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 51942 | 50737 | 41871 | 25932 | 8755 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 7767 | 25500 | 46057 | 62122 | 72017 | 83487 | 96785 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐5 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 229 | 587 | 1735 | 1624 | 1210 | 977 | 1133 | 1312 | 1522 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 8299 | 13065 | 9645 | 4983 | 1535 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1442 | 6096 | 11492 | 15270 | 17702 | 20521 | 23790 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 714 | 716 | 730 | 749 | 772 | 808 | 864 | 942 | 1042 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 258 | 323 | 338 | 277 | 159 | 126 | 162 | 156 | 123 | ||
Low GWP | 4237 | 5014 | 6256 | 7850 | 9749 | 11896 | 14208 | 16698 | 19541 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 177 | 156 | 160 | 207 | 292 | 364 | 423 | 490 | 568 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 598 | 802 | 783 | 531 | 292 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 120 | 396 | 744 | 1027 | 1218 | 1413 | 1637 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 645 | 1350 | 1422 | 994 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 5225 | 15599 | 26146 | 26474 | 14768 | 1761 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 3682 | 10489 | 15381 | 14906 | 8041 | 2012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1561 | 16110 | 41296 | 68930 | 88228 | 102281 | 118572 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 51942 | 50737 | 43852 | 29702 | 12514 | 1943 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 5939 | 21730 | 42287 | 60179 | 72017 | 83487 | 96785 |
Table A6-4: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq.for new manufacturing plus servicing (total demand) for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In ktonnes CO2 equivalents (new manufacturing plus servicing) |
|||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 2438 | 1887 | 1244 | 1240 | 1120 | 1298 | 1505 | 1745 | 2022 |
HC-‐600a | 7 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 42 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2933 | 3084 | 3120 | 3113 | 2735 | 2617 | 3034 | 3517 | 4077 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 60388 | 63498 | 46975 | 29512 | 22379 | 21555 | 24988 | 28968 | 33582 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1312 | 2764 | 4196 | 5519 | 6398 | 7417 | 8598 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 1353 | 1447 | 1492 | 1544 | 1603 | 1746 | 1930 | 2159 | 2437 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2375 | 2926 | 1935 | 1491 | 858 | 761 | 849 | 800 | 700 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 2 | 103 | 99 | 63 | 55 | 38 | 35 | 41 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 289 | 277 | 393 | 483 | 629 | 761 | 882 | 1023 | 1186 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 4634 | 6066 | 3614 | 3283 | 2780 | 2468 | 2316 | 2140 | 1936 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 167 | 227 | 304 | 394 | 498 | 619 | 759 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 5241 | 5808 | 1848 | 1293 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 75619 | 148520 | 180922 | 218882 | 252133 | 291774 | 338246 | 392120 | 454575 | ||
R-‐407C | 18135 | 43419 | 42399 | 49165 | 50816 | 53328 | 56522 | 60225 | 64518 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1315 | 2040 | 2855 | 3801 | 4897 | 6167 | 7640 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 90571 | 88867 | 62952 | 49554 | 35762 | 31934 | 37020 | 42916 | 49752 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 18 | 33 | 50 | 64 | 74 | 86 | 99 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐3 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 2438 | 1887 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 7 | 8 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 54 | 63 | 73 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2933 | 3084 | 3120 | 3113 | 2735 | 2617 | 3034 | 3517 | 4077 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 60388 | 63498 | 40703 | 16597 | 2999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1788 | 3745 | 5669 | 7156 | 8296 | 9617 | 11149 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 1353 | 1447 | 1492 | 1544 | 1603 | 1746 | 1930 | 2159 | 2437 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2375 | 2926 | 1267 | 862 | 478 | 347 | 393 | 298 | 143 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 2 | 154 | 146 | 92 | 86 | 72 | 74 | 83 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 289 | 277 | 393 | 483 | 629 | 761 | 882 | 1023 | 1186 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 4634 | 6066 | 2876 | 1908 | 638 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 223 | 331 | 467 | 582 | 675 | 782 | 907 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 5241 | 5808 | 1848 | 1293 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 75619 | 148520 | 42886 | 30396 | 7923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 18135 | 43419 | 22525 | 17949 | 6828 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 27754 | 38866 | 51190 | 63066 | 73111 | 84756 | 98255 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 90571 | 88867 | 54432 | 33712 | 11367 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 69 | 88 | 102 | 119 | 138 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐5
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 2438 | 1887 | 1244 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 54 | 63 | 73 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2933 | 3084 | 3120 | 3113 | 2735 | 2617 | 3034 | 3517 | 4077 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 60388 | 63498 | 46975 | 19659 | 6060 | 227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1407 | 3745 | 5669 | 7156 | 8296 | 9617 | 11149 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 1353 | 1447 | 1492 | 1544 | 1603 | 1746 | 1930 | 2159 | 2437 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2375 | 2926 | 1935 | 1012 | 627 | 496 | 638 | 613 | 483 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 2 | 103 | 135 | 81 | 75 | 54 | 50 | 58 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 289 | 277 | 393 | 483 | 629 | 761 | 882 | 1023 | 1186 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 4634 | 6066 | 3437 | 2092 | 822 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 180 | 317 | 453 | 575 | 675 | 782 | 907 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 5241 | 5808 | 1848 | 1293 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 75619 | 148520 | 180922 | 50829 | 28354 | 9915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 18135 | 43419 | 42399 | 24148 | 13027 | 3260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 2631 | 34771 | 47095 | 60914 | 73111 | 84756 | 98255 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 90571 | 88867 | 62952 | 38613 | 16269 | 2526 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 18 | 41 | 65 | 86 | 102 | 119 | 138 |
Table A6-5 Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for new manufacturing only for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In ktonnes CO2 equivalents (new manufacturing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 2434 | 1883 | 1241 | 1238 | 1119 | 1297 | 1503 | 1743 | 2021 |
HC-‐600a | 7 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 42 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2635 | 2321 | 865 | 1002 | 1162 | 1347 | 1562 | 1810 | 2099 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 27645 | 11962 | 8932 | 7063 | 8187 | 9491 | 11003 | 12756 | 14787 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 974 | 1380 | 1600 | 1855 | 2150 | 2492 | 2889 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 424 | 516 | 543 | 570 | 600 | 695 | 806 | 934 | 1083 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1359 | 1653 | 604 | 383 | 65 | 75 | 87 | 101 | 117 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 1 | 88 | 58 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 21 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 58 | 74 | 184 | 214 | 248 | 287 | 333 | 386 | 448 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2278 | 2907 | 350 | 516 | 598 | 693 | 803 | 931 | 1079 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 145 | 159 | 185 | 214 | 248 | 288 | 334 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 4403 | 4053 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 65586 | 118570 | 130720 | 151541 | 175677 | 203658 | 236095 | 273699 | 317293 | ||
R-‐407C | 12171 | 26428 | 17481 | 20007 | 23194 | 26888 | 31170 | 36135 | 41890 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1081 | 1277 | 1481 | 1717 | 1990 | 2307 | 2675 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 23046 | 22908 | 5944 | 7059 | 8183 | 9486 | 10997 | 12749 | 14780 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 30 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐3 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 2434 | 1883 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 7 | 8 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 54 | 63 | 73 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2635 | 2321 | 865 | 1002 | 1162 | 1347 | 1562 | 1810 | 2099 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 27645 | 11962 | 3906 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1356 | 1916 | 2221 | 2575 | 2985 | 3461 | 4012 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 424 | 516 | 543 | 570 | 600 | 695 | 806 | 934 | 1083 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1359 | 1653 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 1 | 132 | 87 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 30 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 58 | 74 | 184 | 214 | 248 | 287 | 333 | 386 | 448 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2278 | 2907 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 180 | 199 | 230 | 267 | 309 | 359 | 416 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 4403 | 4053 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 65586 | 118570 | 2434 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 12171 | 26428 | 543 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 25344 | 29938 | 34707 | 40234 | 46643 | 54072 | 62684 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 23046 | 22908 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 35 | 41 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐5 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 2434 | 1883 | 1241 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 54 | 63 | 73 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2635 | 2321 | 865 | 1002 | 1162 | 1347 | 1562 | 1810 | 2099 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 27645 | 11962 | 8932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 974 | 1916 | 2221 | 2575 | 2985 | 3461 | 4012 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 424 | 516 | 543 | 570 | 600 | 695 | 806 | 934 | 1083 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1359 | 1653 | 604 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 1 | 88 | 87 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 30 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 58 | 74 | 184 | 214 | 248 | 287 | 333 | 386 | 448 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2278 | 2907 | 350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 145 | 199 | 230 | 267 | 309 | 359 | 416 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 4403 | 4053 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 65586 | 118570 | 130720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 12171 | 26428 | 17481 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 2163 | 29938 | 34707 | 40234 | 46643 | 54072 | 62684 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 23046 | 22908 | 5944 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 35 | 41 |
Table A6-6: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for servicing only for non-Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In ktonnes CO2 equivalents (servicing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
HC-‐600a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 298 | 763 | 2255 | 2111 | 1573 | 1270 | 1472 | 1707 | 1978 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 32743 | 51536 | 38043 | 22449 | 14192 | 12064 | 13985 | 16212 | 18795 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 338 | 1384 | 2596 | 3664 | 4248 | 4925 | 5709 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 929 | 931 | 949 | 974 | 1003 | 1051 | 1124 | 1225 | 1354 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1016 | 1273 | 1331 | 1108 | 793 | 686 | 762 | 699 | 583 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 52 | 42 | 23 | 17 | 20 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 231 | 203 | 209 | 269 | 381 | 474 | 549 | 637 | 738 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2356 | 3159 | 3264 | 2767 | 2182 | 1775 | 1513 | 1209 | 857 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 22 | 68 | 119 | 180 | 250 | 331 | 425 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 838 | 1755 | 1848 | 1293 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 10033 | 29950 | 50202 | 67341 | 76456 | 88116 | 102151 | 118421 | 137282 | ||
R-‐407C | 5964 | 16991 | 24918 | 29158 | 27622 | 26440 | 25352 | 24090 | 22628 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 234 | 763 | 1374 | 2084 | 2907 | 3860 | 4965 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 67525 | 65959 | 57008 | 42495 | 27579 | 22448 | 26023 | 30167 | 34972 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 45 | 52 | 61 | 69 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐3
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 298 | 763 | 2255 | 2111 | 1573 | 1270 | 1472 | 1707 | 1978 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 32743 | 51536 | 36797 | 16597 | 2999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 432 | 1829 | 3448 | 4581 | 5311 | 6156 | 7137 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 929 | 931 | 949 | 974 | 1003 | 1051 | 1124 | 1225 | 1354 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1016 | 1273 | 1250 | 862 | 478 | 347 | 393 | 298 | 143 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 1 | 22 | 59 | 76 | 67 | 50 | 48 | 53 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 231 | 203 | 209 | 269 | 381 | 474 | 549 | 637 | 738 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2356 | 3159 | 2876 | 1908 | 638 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 43 | 132 | 237 | 315 | 366 | 423 | 491 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 838 | 1755 | 1848 | 1293 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 10033 | 29950 | 40452 | 30396 | 7923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 5964 | 16991 | 21982 | 17949 | 6828 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 2410 | 8928 | 16483 | 22832 | 26468 | 30684 | 35571 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 67525 | 65959 | 54432 | 33712 | 11367 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 46 | 62 | 72 | 84 | 97 | ||
nA5 MIT-‐5
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 298 | 763 | 2255 | 2111 | 1573 | 1270 | 1472 | 1707 | 1978 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 32743 | 51536 | 38043 | 19659 | 6060 | 227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 433 | 1829 | 3448 | 4581 | 5311 | 6156 | 7137 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 929 | 931 | 949 | 974 | 1003 | 1051 | 1124 | 1225 | 1354 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1016 | 1273 | 1331 | 1012 | 627 | 496 | 638 | 613 | 483 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 65 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 28 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 231 | 203 | 209 | 269 | 381 | 474 | 549 | 637 | 738 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2356 | 3159 | 3087 | 2092 | 822 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 35 | 118 | 223 | 308 | 366 | 423 | 491 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 838 | 1755 | 1848 | 1293 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
R-‐410A | 10033 | 29950 | 50202 | 50829 | 28354 | 9915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 5964 | 16991 | 24918 | 24148 | 13027 | 3260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 468 | 4833 | 12388 | 20680 | 26468 | 30684 | 35571 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 67525 | 65959 | 57008 | 38613 | 16269 | 2526 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 42 | 60 | 72 | 84 | 97 |
Table A6-7: Demand in tonnes for servicing and new manufacturing (total demand) for Article 5
Parties for the period 2010-2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5
scenarios
In tonnes (new manufacturing plus servicing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 12941 | 13329 | 15333 | 18242 | 21634 | 26893 | 33468 | 41682 | 51935 |
HC-‐600a | 3083 | 5747 | 10141 | 15684 | 23446 | 29496 | 36965 | 46197 | 57613 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2743 | 5089 | 9356 | 11910 | 15018 | 18781 | 23404 | 29166 | 36346 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 11343 | 31391 | 55505 | 97823 | 148283 | 198343 | 255658 | 320891 | 399889 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 720 | 1320 | 2255 | 3730 | 6074 | 8301 | 10829 | 13737 | 17118 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 599 | 3132 | 6266 | 10969 | 15212 | 20001 | 25495 | 31870 | 39332 | ||
Low GWP | 19347 | 23571 | 28991 | 36291 | 46469 | 56461 | 67842 | 81380 | 97596 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 544 | 1075 | 1982 | 2608 | 3104 | 3798 | 4521 | 5424 | 6697 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1143 | 1881 | 2192 | 3135 | 4195 | 5235 | 6592 | 8316 | 10393 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1091 | 2315 | 4556 | 5849 | 7087 | 8173 | 8961 | 9609 | 10338 | |
R-‐410A | 40975 | 106661 | 192770 | 284682 | 364845 | 427266 | 479588 | 524488 | 566180 | ||
R-‐407C | 16543 | 55278 | 101216 | 174433 | 285500 | 372998 | 457406 | 532391 | 587361 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 36354 | 51396 | 66680 | 84928 | 108190 | 138081 | 176230 | 224919 | 287060 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 12941 | 13329 | 12953 | 1296 | 549 | 333 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 3083 | 5747 | 12521 | 32630 | 44531 | 56056 | 70339 | 87879 | 109548 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2743 | 5089 | 9356 | 11910 | 15018 | 18781 | 23404 | 29166 | 36346 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 11343 | 31391 | 50015 | 30001 | 9356 | 1285 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 5490 | 67822 | 140098 | 197058 | 255658 | 320891 | 399889 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 720 | 1320 | 2255 | 3730 | 6074 | 8301 | 10829 | 13737 | 17118 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 599 | 3132 | 5774 | 4392 | 2883 | 1131 | 1412 | 3306 | 5077 | ||
Low GWP | 19347 | 23571 | 29484 | 42868 | 58798 | 75331 | 91924 | 109944 | 131850 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 544 | 1075 | 1982 | 2608 | 3104 | 3798 | 4521 | 5424 | 6697 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1143 | 1881 | 1976 | 1265 | 928 | 554 | 164 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 216 | 1871 | 3267 | 4680 | 6428 | 8316 | 10393 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1091 | 2315 | 4556 | 5849 | 7087 | 8173 | 8961 | 9609 | 10338 | |
R-‐410A | 40975 | 106661 | 170273 | 65015 | 18972 | 13467 | 4267 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 16543 | 55278 | 92804 | 58029 | 20684 | 13059 | 4411 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 30909 | 336071 | 610690 | 773737 | 928316 | 1056879 | 1153541 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 36354 | 51396 | 59636 | 22153 | 6375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 7044 | 62775 | 101815 | 138081 | 176230 | 224919 | 287060 | ||
nA5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 12941 | 13329 | 15333 | 15442 | 1541 | 636 | 389 | 111 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 3083 | 5747 | 10141 | 18484 | 43539 | 55752 | 70044 | 87768 | 109548 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2743 | 5089 | 9356 | 11910 | 15018 | 18781 | 23404 | 29166 | 36346 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 11343 | 31391 | 55505 | 88798 | 45752 | 23639 | 7810 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9024 | 102531 | 174704 | 247847 | 320891 | 399889 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 720 | 1320 | 2255 | 3730 | 6074 | 8301 | 10829 | 13737 | 17118 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 599 | 3132 | 6266 | 10200 | 7134 | 5289 | 2973 | 3306 | 5077 | ||
Low GWP | 19347 | 23571 | 28991 | 37060 | 54546 | 71173 | 90363 | 109944 | 131850 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 544 | 1075 | 1982 | 2608 | 3104 | 3798 | 4521 | 5424 | 6697 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1143 | 1881 | 2192 | 2860 | 1577 | 1066 | 662 | 209 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 2618 | 4169 | 5930 | 8108 | 10393 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1091 | 2315 | 4556 | 5849 | 7087 | 8173 | 8961 | 9609 | 10338 | |
R-‐410A | 40975 | 106661 | 192770 | 254067 | 104162 | 83830 | 55193 | 16085 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 16543 | 55278 | 101216 | 160942 | 108166 | 30160 | 21180 | 7194 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44105 | 438017 | 686274 | 860621 | 1033601 | 1153541 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 36354 | 51396 | 66680 | 76006 | 28027 | 4843 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8922 | 80163 | 133238 | 176230 | 224919 | 287060 |
Table A6-8: Demand in tonnes for new manufacturing only for Article 5 Parties for the period
2010-2050 for the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In tonnes (new manufacturing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
A5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 11234 | 12812 | 14610 | 17323 | 20540 | 25597 | 31899 | 39751 | 49537 |
HC-‐600a | 2622 | 5557 | 9740 | 14957 | 22252 | 27730 | 34557 | 43064 | 53666 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2617 | 4779 | 8726 | 10874 | 13551 | 16887 | 21045 | 26225 | 32682 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 9216 | 20804 | 31030 | 52412 | 76790 | 95695 | 119253 | 148611 | 185196 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 406 | 650 | 1040 | 1663 | 2661 | 3191 | 3827 | 4590 | 5504 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 238 | 1613 | 2532 | 3972 | 4435 | 5319 | 6379 | 7649 | 9173 | ||
Low GWP | 3305 | 4242 | 5579 | 7566 | 10645 | 12766 | 15309 | 18358 | 22015 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 321 | 551 | 948 | 964 | 981 | 1223 | 1524 | 1899 | 2367 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 877 | 1241 | 1158 | 1660 | 2290 | 2853 | 3556 | 4431 | 5522 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 862 | 1587 | 2923 | 3072 | 3229 | 3478 | 3747 | 4036 | 4348 | |
R-‐410A | 34583 | 82577 | 134702 | 178540 | 206625 | 222594 | 239796 | 258329 | 278294 | ||
R-‐407C | 6107 | 26645 | 43128 | 69810 | 112998 | 121731 | 131139 | 141274 | 152192 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 25061 | 32577 | 40822 | 52100 | 66495 | 84866 | 108313 | 138238 | 176430 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
A5 MIT-‐3 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 11234 | 12812 | 12238 | 580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 2622 | 5557 | 12112 | 31700 | 42792 | 53327 | 66455 | 82815 | 103203 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2617 | 4779 | 8726 | 10874 | 13551 | 16887 | 21045 | 26225 | 32682 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 9216 | 20804 | 26172 | 4495 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 4858 | 47916 | 76790 | 95695 | 119253 | 148611 | 185196 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 406 | 650 | 1040 | 1663 | 2661 | 3191 | 3827 | 4590 | 5504 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 238 | 1613 | 2132 | 230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 3305 | 4242 | 5979 | 11308 | 15080 | 18085 | 21687 | 26007 | 31188 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 321 | 551 | 948 | 964 | 981 | 1223 | 1524 | 1899 | 2367 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 877 | 1241 | 956 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 203 | 1551 | 2290 | 2853 | 3556 | 4431 | 5522 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 862 | 1587 | 2923 | 3072 | 3229 | 3478 | 3747 | 4036 | 4348 | |
R-‐410A | 34583 | 82577 | 113983 | 10182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 6107 | 26645 | 36495 | 3981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 27353 | 234187 | 319623 | 344324 | 370935 | 399603 | 430485 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 25061 | 32577 | 34293 | 2481 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 6529 | 49619 | 66495 | 84866 | 108313 | 138238 | 176430 | ||
A5 MIT-‐5 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 11234 | 12812 | 14610 | 14533 | 688 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 2622 | 5557 | 9740 | 17747 | 42104 | 53327 | 66455 | 82815 | 103203 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 2617 | 4779 | 8726 | 10874 | 13551 | 16887 | 21045 | 26225 | 32682 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 9216 | 20804 | 31030 | 44426 | 5149 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7986 | 71642 | 95695 | 119253 | 148611 | 185196 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 406 | 650 | 1040 | 1663 | 2661 | 3191 | 3827 | 4590 | 5504 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 238 | 1613 | 2532 | 3348 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 3305 | 4242 | 5579 | 8190 | 15080 | 18085 | 21687 | 26007 | 31188 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 321 | 551 | 948 | 964 | 981 | 1223 | 1524 | 1899 | 2367 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 877 | 1241 | 1158 | 1402 | 137 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 2152 | 2853 | 3556 | 4431 | 5522 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 862 | 1587 | 2923 | 3072 | 3229 | 3478 | 3747 | 4036 | 4348 | |
R-‐410A | 34583 | 82577 | 134702 | 150481 | 9255 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 6107 | 26645 | 43128 | 58838 | 5061 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39031 | 305306 | 344324 | 370935 | 399603 | 430485 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 25061 | 32577 | 40822 | 43830 | 3166 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8270 | 63328 | 84866 | 108313 | 138238 | 176430 |
Table: A6-9 Demand in tonnes for servicing only for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 for
the six major sub-sectors and for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In tonnes (servicing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
A5 BAU | Domestic11 | HFC-‐134a | 1707 | 517 | 723 | 919 | 1094 | 1296 | 1569 | 1931 | 2398 |
HC-‐600a | 461 | 190 | 401 | 727 | 1194 | 1766 | 2408 | 3133 | 3947 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 126 | 310 | 630 | 1036 | 1467 | 1894 | 2359 | 2941 | 3664 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2127 | 10587 | 24475 | 45411 | 71493 | 102648 | 136405 | 172280 | 214693 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 314 | 670 | 1215 | 2067 | 3413 | 5110 | 7002 | 9147 | 11614 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 361 | 1519 | 3734 | 6997 | 10777 | 14682 | 19116 | 24221 | 30159 | ||
Low GWP | 16042 | 19329 | 23412 | 28725 | 35824 | 43695 | 52533 | 63022 | 75581 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 223 | 524 | 1034 | 1644 | 2123 | 2575 | 2997 | 3525 | 4330 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 266 | 640 | 1034 | 1475 | 1905 | 2382 | 3036 | 3885 | 4871 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 229 | 728 | 1633 | 2777 | 3858 | 4695 | 5214 | 5573 | 5990 | |
R-‐410A | 6392 | 24084 | 58068 | 106142 | 158220 | 204672 | 239792 | 266159 | 287886 | ||
R-‐407C | 10436 | 28633 | 58088 | 104623 | 172502 | 251267 | 326267 | 391117 | 435169 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 11293 | 18819 | 25858 | 32828 | 41695 | 53215 | 67917 | 86681 | 110630 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
A5 MIT-‐3
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1707 | 517 | 715 | 716 | 549 | 333 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 461 | 190 | 409 | 930 | 1739 | 2729 | 3884 | 5064 | 6345 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 126 | 310 | 630 | 1036 | 1467 | 1894 | 2359 | 2941 | 3664 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2127 | 10587 | 23843 | 25506 | 9356 | 1285 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 632 | 19906 | 63308 | 101363 | 136405 | 172280 | 214693 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 314 | 670 | 1215 | 2067 | 3413 | 5110 | 7002 | 9147 | 11614 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 361 | 1519 | 3642 | 4162 | 2883 | 1131 | 1412 | 3306 | 5077 | ||
Low GWP | 16042 | 19329 | 23505 | 31560 | 43718 | 57246 | 70237 | 83937 | 100662 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 223 | 556 | 1217 | 2073 | 2825 | 2825 | 2825 | 2825 | 2825 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 266 | 684 | 1159 | 962 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 33 | 853 | 2535 | 2535 | 2535 | 2535 | 2535 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 229 | 728 | 1633 | 2777 | 3858 | 4695 | 5214 | 5573 | 5990 | |
R-‐410A | 6392 | 24084 | 56290 | 54833 | 18972 | 13467 | 4267 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 10436 | 28633 | 56309 | 54048 | 20684 | 13059 | 4411 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 3556 | 101884 | 291067 | 429413 | 557381 | 657276 | 723056 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 11293 | 18819 | 25343 | 19672 | 6375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 515 | 13156 | 35320 | 53215 | 67917 | 86681 | 110630 | ||
A5 MIT-‐5
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1707 | 517 | 723 | 909 | 853 | 636 | 389 | 111 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 461 | 190 | 401 | 737 | 1435 | 2425 | 3589 | 4953 | 6345 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 126 | 310 | 630 | 1036 | 1467 | 1894 | 2359 | 2941 | 3664 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2127 | 10587 | 24475 | 44372 | 40603 | 23639 | 7810 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1038 | 30889 | 79009 | 128594 | 172280 | 214693 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 314 | 670 | 1215 | 2067 | 3413 | 5110 | 7002 | 9147 | 11614 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 361 | 1519 | 3734 | 6852 | 7134 | 5289 | 2973 | 3306 | 5077 | ||
Low GWP | 16042 | 19329 | 23412 | 28870 | 39466 | 53088 | 68676 | 83937 | 100662 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 223 | 524 | 1034 | 1644 | 2123 | 2575 | 2997 | 3525 | 4330 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 266 | 640 | 1034 | 1458 | 1440 | 1066 | 662 | 209 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 466 | 1316 | 2374 | 3677 | 4871 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 229 | 728 | 1633 | 2777 | 3858 | 4695 | 5214 | 5573 | 5990 | |
R-‐410A | 6392 | 24084 | 58068 | 103586 | 94907 | 83830 | 55193 | 16085 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 10436 | 28633 | 58088 | 102104 | 103105 | 30160 | 21180 | 7194 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5074 | 132711 | 341950 | 489686 | 633998 | 723056 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 11293 | 18819 | 25858 | 32176 | 24861 | 4843 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 652 | 16835 | 48372 | 67917 | 86681 | 110630 |
Table A6-10: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for new manufacturing plus servicing (total demand) for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In ktonnes CO2 equivalents (new manufacturing plus servicing) |
|||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
A5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 16823 | 17327 | 19933 | 23715 | 28125 | 34960 | 43509 | 54186 | 67516 |
HC-‐600a | 62 | 115 | 203 | 314 | 469 | 590 | 739 | 924 | 1152 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 3566 | 6615 | 12162 | 15484 | 19524 | 24415 | 30425 | 37915 | 47250 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 44723 | 123759 | 218844 | 385658 | 584559 | 781886 | 1007810 | 1264957 | 1576367 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 937 | 1716 | 2931 | 4849 | 7896 | 10792 | 14078 | 17858 | 22253 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2359 | 12341 | 24689 | 43217 | 59936 | 78802 | 100448 | 125566 | 154966 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 19 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 707 | 1398 | 2577 | 3390 | 4035 | 4938 | 5877 | 7051 | 8706 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 4502 | 7411 | 8635 | 12354 | 16530 | 20625 | 25937 | 32766 | 40950 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1418 | 3009 | 5923 | 7603 | 9213 | 10624 | 11649 | 12492 | 13440 | |
R-‐410A | 78671 | 204789 | 370118 | 546589 | 700502 | 820350 | 920809 | 1007017 | 1087066 | ||
R-‐407C | 26799 | 89550 | 163971 | 282581 | 462511 | 604256 | 740997 | 862474 | 951525 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 47261 | 66815 | 86684 | 110406 | 140647 | 179505 | 229099 | 292395 | 373178 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
A5 MIT-‐3
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 16823 | 17327 | 16839 | 1685 | 714 | 432 | 122 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 62 | 115 | 250 | 653 | 891 | 1121 | 1407 | 1758 | 2191 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 3566 | 6615 | 12162 | 15484 | 19524 | 24415 | 30425 | 37915 | 47250 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 44723 | 123759 | 197206 | 118371 | 32484 | 5078 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1647 | 20347 | 42029 | 59117 | 76697 | 96267 | 119967 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 937 | 1716 | 2931 | 4849 | 7896 | 10792 | 14078 | 17858 | 22253 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2359 | 12341 | 22749 | 17303 | 11359 | 4454 | 5564 | 13024 | 20005 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 1 | 150 | 1078 | 3707 | 5672 | 7238 | 8585 | 10295 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 707 | 1398 | 2577 | 3390 | 4035 | 4938 | 5877 | 7051 | 8706 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 4502 | 7411 | 7785 | 4984 | 3657 | 2184 | 646 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 68 | 648 | 980 | 1404 | 1928 | 2495 | 3118 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1418 | 3009 | 5923 | 7603 | 9213 | 10624 | 11649 | 12492 | 13440 | |
R-‐410A | 78671 | 204789 | 326924 | 124828 | 36425 | 25856 | 8192 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 26799 | 89550 | 150343 | 94007 | 33508 | 21156 | 7146 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 9273 | 100821 | 183207 | 232121 | 278495 | 317064 | 346062 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 47261 | 66815 | 77527 | 28799 | 8288 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 7 | 63 | 102 | 138 | 176 | 225 | 287 | ||
A5 MIT-‐5 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 16823 | 17327 | 19933 | 20074 | 2003 | 827 | 506 | 144 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 62 | 115 | 203 | 370 | 871 | 1115 | 1401 | 1755 | 2191 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 3566 | 6615 | 12162 | 15484 | 19524 | 24415 | 30425 | 37915 | 47250 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 44723 | 123759 | 218844 | 350091 | 180501 | 93204 | 30793 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2707 | 30759 | 52411 | 74354 | 96267 | 119967 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 937 | 1716 | 2931 | 4849 | 7896 | 10792 | 14078 | 17858 | 22253 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 2359 | 12341 | 24689 | 40190 | 28109 | 20839 | 11712 | 13024 | 20005 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 1 | 3 | 235 | 2432 | 4424 | 6770 | 8585 | 10295 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 707 | 1398 | 2577 | 3390 | 4035 | 4938 | 5877 | 7051 | 8706 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 4502 | 7411 | 8635 | 11269 | 6214 | 4200 | 2610 | 822 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 785 | 1251 | 1779 | 2432 | 3118 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1418 | 3009 | 5923 | 7603 | 9213 | 10624 | 11649 | 12492 | 13440 | |
R-‐410A | 78671 | 204789 | 370118 | 487808 | 199992 | 160953 | 105970 | 30882 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 26799 | 89550 | 163971 | 260727 | 175229 | 48859 | 34312 | 11654 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13232 | 131405 | 205882 | 258186 | 310080 | 346062 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 47261 | 66815 | 86684 | 98808 | 36435 | 6296 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 80 | 133 | 176 | 225 | 287 |
Table A6-11: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for new manufacturing only for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In ktonnes CO2 equivalents (new manufacturing) | |||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
A5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 14993 | 16655 | 18993 | 22520 | 26702 | 33276 | 41468 | 51677 | 64399 |
HC-‐600a | 52 | 111 | 195 | 299 | 445 | 555 | 691 | 861 | 1073 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 3402 | 6213 | 11344 | 14136 | 17617 | 21953 | 27358 | 34093 | 42486 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 36328 | 81998 | 122316 | 206575 | 302644 | 377150 | 469997 | 585702 | 729891 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 528 | 845 | 1352 | 2162 | 3460 | 4149 | 4975 | 5966 | 7155 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 937 | 6354 | 9976 | 15650 | 17476 | 20957 | 25131 | 30138 | 36141 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 417 | 717 | 1232 | 1254 | 1276 | 1590 | 1981 | 2469 | 3077 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 3455 | 4891 | 4564 | 6542 | 9022 | 11243 | 14010 | 17460 | 21758 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1121 | 0263 | 3800 | 3993 | 4197 | 4521 | 4871 | 5247 | 5653 | |
R-‐410A | 66400 | 158547 | 258628 | 342797 | 396720 | 427380 | 460409 | 495991 | 534324 | ||
R-‐407C | 9893 | 43164 | 69868 | 113092 | 183057 | 197204 | 212445 | 228863 | 246551 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 32579 | 42350 | 53069 | 67730 | 86443 | 110326 | 140807 | 179709 | 229359 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
A5 MIT-‐3
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 14604 | 16655 | 15910 | 754 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 52 | 111 | 242 | 634 | 856 | 1067 | 1329 | 1656 | 2064 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 3402 | 6213 | 11344 | 14136 | 17617 | 21953 | 27358 | 34093 | 42486 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 36328 | 81998 | 103166 | 17714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1457 | 14375 | 23037 | 28708 | 35776 | 44583 | 55559 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 528 | 845 | 1352 | 2162 | 3460 | 4149 | 4975 | 5966 | 7155 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 937 | 6354 | 8401 | 908 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 1 | 1221 | 1125 | 1335 | 1601 | 1920 | 2302 | 2761 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 417 | 717 | 1232 | 1254 | 1276 | 1590 | 1981 | 2469 | 3077 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 3455 | 4891 | 3766 | 432 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 61 | 465 | 687 | 856 | 1067 | 1329 | 1657 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1121 | 2063 | 3800 | 3993 | 4197 | 4521 | 4871 | 5247 | 5653 | |
R-‐410A | 66400 | 158547 | 218847 | 19549 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 9893 | 43164 | 59121 | 6449 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 8206 | 70256 | 95887 | 103297 | 111281 | 119881 | 129146 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 32579 | 42350 | 44581 | 3225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 7 | 50 | 66 | 85 | 108 | 138 | 176 | ||
A5 MIT-‐5
|
Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 14604 | 16655 | 18994 | 18893 | 894 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 52 | 111 | 195 | 355 | 842 | 1067 | 1329 | 1656 | 2064 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 3402 | 6213 | 11344 | 14136 | 17617 | 21953 | 27358 | 34093 | 42486 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 36328 | 81998 | 122316 | 175098 | 20289 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2396 | 21493 | 28708 | 35776 | 44583 | 55559 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 528 | 845 | 1352 | 2162 | 3460 | 4149 | 4975 | 5966 | 7155 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 937 | 6354 | 9976 | 13193 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 1335 | 1601 | 1920 | 2302 | 2761 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 417 | 717 | 1232 | 1254 | 1276 | 1590 | 1981 | 2469 | 3077 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 3455 | 4891 | 4564 | 5524 | 542 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 646 | 856 | 1067 | 1329 | 1657 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 1121 | 2063 | 3800 | 3993 | 4197 | 4521 | 4871 | 5247 | 5653 | |
R-‐410A | 66400 | 158547 | 258628 | 288923 | 19076 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 9893 | 43164 | 69868 | 95318 | 8802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11709 | 91276 | 103297 | 111281 | 119881 | 129146 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 32579 | 42350 | 53069 | 56980 | 4116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 63 | 85 | 108 | 138 | 176 |
Table A6-12: Demand in ktonnes CO2-eq. for servicing only for Article 5 Parties for the period 2010-2050 and for the six major sub-sectors for the BAU, MIT-3 and MIT-5 scenarios
In ktonnes CO2 equivalents (new manufacturing plus servicing) |
|||||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 | |||
A5 BAU | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 1830 | 672 | 940 | 1195 | 1423 | 1684 | 2041 | 2509 | 3117 |
HC-‐600a | 10 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 35 | 48 | 63 | 79 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 164 | 402 | 818 | 1348 | 1907 | 2462 | 3067 | 3822 | 4764 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 8395 | 41761 | 96528 | 179083 | 281915 | 404736 | 537813 | 679255 | 846476 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 409 | 871 | 1579 | 2687 | 4436 | 6643 | 9103 | 11892 | 15098 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1422 | 5987 | 14713 | 27567 | 42460 | 57845 | 75317 | 95428 | 118825 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 290 | 681 | 1345 | 2136 | 2759 | 3348 | 3896 | 4582 | 5629 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1047 | 2520 | 4071 | 5812 | 7508 | 9382 | 11927 | 15306 | 19192 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 297 | 946 | 2123 | 3610 | 5016 | 6103 | 6778 | 7245 | 7787 | |
R-‐410A | 12271 | 46242 | 111490 | 203792 | 303782 | 392970 | 460400 | 511026 | 552742 | ||
R-‐407C | 16906 | 46386 | 94103 | 169489 | 279454 | 407052 | 528552 | 633611 | 704974 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 14682 | 24465 | 33615 | 42676 | 54204 | 69179 | 88292 | 112686 | 143819 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
A5 MIT-‐3 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 2219 | 672 | 929 | 931 | 714 | 432 | 122 | 0 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 10 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 54 | 78 | 102 | 127 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 164 | 402 | 818 | 1348 | 1907 | 2462 | 3067 | 3822 | 4764 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 8395 | 41761 | 94040 | 100657 | 32484 | 5078 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 190 | 5972 | 18992 | 30409 | 40921 | 51684 | 64408 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 409 | 871 | 1579 | 2687 | 4436 | 6643 | 9103 | 11892 | 15098 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1422 | 5987 | 14348 | 16395 | 11359 | 4454 | 5564 | 13024 | 20005 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 0 | -1071 | -47 | 2372 | 4071 | 5318 | 6283 | 7534 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 290 | 681 | 1345 | 2136 | 2759 | 3348 | 3896 | 4582 | 5629 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1047 | 2520 | 4019 | 4552 | 3657 | 2184 | 646 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 7 | 183 | 293 | 548 | 861 | 1166 | 1461 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 297 | 946 | 2123 | 3610 | 5016 | 6103 | 6778 | 7245 | 7787 | |
R-‐410A | 12271 | 46242 | 108077 | 105279 | 36425 | 25856 | 8192 | 0 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 16906 | 46386 | 91222 | 87558 | 33508 | 21156 | 7146 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 1067 | 30565 | 87320 | 128824 | 167214 | 197183 | 216916 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 14682 | 24465 | 32946 | 25574 | 8288 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 36 | 53 | 68 | 87 | 111 | ||
A5 MIT-‐5 | Domestic | HFC-‐134a | 2219 | 672 | 939 | 1181 | 1109 | 827 | 506 | 144 | 0 |
HC-‐600a | 10 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 48 | 72 | 99 | 127 | ||
Commercial | HFC-‐134a | 164 | 402 | 818 | 1348 | 1907 | 2462 | 3067 | 3822 | 4764 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 8395 | 41761 | 96528 | 174993 | 160212 | 93204 | 30793 | 0 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 311 | 9266 | 23703 | 38578 | 51684 | 64408 | ||
Industrial | HFC-‐134a | 409 | 871 | 1579 | 2687 | 4436 | 6643 | 9103 | 11892 | 15098 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1422 | 5987 | 14713 | 26997 | 28109 | 20839 | 11712 | 13024 | 20005 | ||
Low GWP | 1 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1097 | 2823 | 4850 | 6283 | 7534 | ||
Transport | HFC-‐134a | 290 | 681 | 1345 | 2136 | 2759 | 3348 | 3896 | 4582 | 5629 | |
R-‐404A + R-‐507 | 1047 | 2520 | 4071 | 5745 | 5672 | 4200 | 2610 | 822 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 139 | 395 | 712 | 1103 | 1461 | ||
SAC | HFC-‐134a | 297 | 946 | 2123 | 3610 | 5016 | 6103 | 6778 | 7245 | 7787 | |
R-‐410A | 12271 | 46242 | 111490 | 198885 | 180916 | 160953 | 105970 | 30882 | 0 | ||
R-‐407C | 16906 | 46386 | 94103 | 165409 | 166427 | 48859 | 34312 | 11654 | 0 | ||
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1523 | 40129 | 102585 | 146905 | 190199 | 216916 | ||
MAC | HFC-‐134a | 14682 | 24465 | 33615 | 41828 | 32319 | 6296 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Low GWP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 48 | 68 | 87 | 111 |